Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc44aaaaf88ed006cc10f08cca10142df418c25d01b9887dd2e6330bc0928d09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 21,680$13,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,028.04 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 32c | 13,134$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.48 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 12,292$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.61 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 11,564$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed REKONIX | 51c | 8,925$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.58 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 38c | 7,073$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.56 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 7,053$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 44c | 6,292$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.27 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 36c | 5,905$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.7 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 42c | 5,030$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.64 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked REKONIX | 45c | 4,955$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.7 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,665$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 20c | 3,308$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.3 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,136$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.78 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed REKONIX | 17c | 3,024$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.22 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REKONIX | 39c | 2,882$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.12 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,838$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.15 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,699$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.4 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 48c | 2,598$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.53 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,500$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.49 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 38c | 2,477$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,384$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.69 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed REKONIX | 19c | 2,300$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 33c | 2,279$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.59 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed REKONIX | 44c | 2,228$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.52 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,179$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.59 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed REKONIX | 30c | 2,024$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.52 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed REKONIX | 19c | 2,022$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.09 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,825$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.11 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,788$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.7 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed REKONIX | 43c | 1,701$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.26 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked REKONIX | 23c | 1,597$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.55 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked REKONIX | 19c | 1,518$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.42 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 17c | 1,459$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed REKONIX | 42c | 1,442$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.93 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,415$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.04 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked REKONIX | 44c | 1,403$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.6 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 45c | 1,400$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.45 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed REKONIX | 26c | 1,357$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.08 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,325$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.05 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,150$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked REKONIX | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,028$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed REKONIX | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed REKONIX | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked REKONIX | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 25c | 992.8$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed REKONIX | 27c | 990.86$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 989.47$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed REKONIX | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed REKONIX | 26c | 934.15$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 932.6$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.78 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d98cbacked REKONIX | 26c | 896.67$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…ada1backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 829.73$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 820.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.38 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 802.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.19 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked REKONIX | 13c | 799.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed REKONIX | 19c | 794.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed REKONIX | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 742.9$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2ebdbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 742$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 741.25$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed REKONIX | 31c | 736.7$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.17 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed REKONIX | 25c | 730$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…89f5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 698.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.68 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 694.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.41 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed REKONIX | 76c | 673$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.34 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 649.98$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked REKONIX | 42c | 612.49$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.22 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked REKONIX | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 39c | 600$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 27c | 596.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 576.2$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.91 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 570.89$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.27 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 42c | 569.01$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.98 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked REKONIX | 48c | 561$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 554.32$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.43 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked REKONIX | 34c | 530$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 527.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.29 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 44c | 526.29$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 22c | 519.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked REKONIX | 18c | 516$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX | 25c | 509.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked REKONIX | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed REKONIX | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 498.79$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 447.3$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 39c | 446.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.72 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX | 42c | 445.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed REKONIX | 56c | 445.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX | 40c | 440.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 58c | 439$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.52 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked REKONIX | 37c | 419.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 412.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed REKONIX | 25c | 399.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 386.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.