Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e6bc19d4aa5ad2e02544b8462a5936bedb6c1035a8a3c2dfabe643240a0e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Natus Vincere, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7714…b814backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 18,353$14,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,141.14 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed REKONIX | 25c | 18,039$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,524.25 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 17,057$13,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,142.03 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 13,941$10,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513.06 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 12,068$9,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,266.47 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 24c | 11,727$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900.2 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 9,372$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 8,142$6,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.68 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 25c | 8,081$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.08 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 7,146$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.41 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 24c | 6,444$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 27c | 5,786$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.42 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 5,711$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 5,418$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.61 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked REKONIX | 22c | 5,128$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.33 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed REKONIX | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed REKONIX | 23c | 4,508$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.32 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 24c | 4,396$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.5 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 4,007$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.85 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 19c | 3,974$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.71 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed REKONIX | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 20c | 3,093$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.51 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed REKONIX | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 19c | 2,605$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.84 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked REKONIX | 29c | 2,489$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.19 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 23c | 2,353$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.8 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 22c | 2,294$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX | 21c | 2,081$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.33 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,993$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.62 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 38c | 1,769$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.8 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 22c | 1,690$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,270$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.79 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,262$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.36 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed REKONIX | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,223$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.71 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked REKONIX | 24c | 1,156$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.37 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 1,150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX | 39c | 1,026$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.67 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked REKONIX | 49c | 1,003$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.43 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked REKONIX | 24c | 987.13$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.28 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed REKONIX | 24c | 947.32$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.65 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 32c | 859.67$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.75 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked REKONIX | 23c | 825.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.76 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9bb3backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 824$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 23c | 804.55$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.45 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 768.66$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.44 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed REKONIX | 43c | 746.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.55 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed REKONIX | 27c | 740.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.98 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked REKONIX | 18c | 731$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.99 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 709.61$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.35 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked REKONIX | 24c | 676.87$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.85 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 676.42$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.49 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked REKONIX | 60c | 661.2$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 600$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 599.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.02 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 23c | 577.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.81 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 468.73$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 23c | 462.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.83 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed REKONIX | 27c | 457.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked REKONIX | 25c | 386.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.19 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 365.74$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed REKONIX | 31c | 358.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 341$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 339$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 336.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c1dabacked REKONIX | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 316$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 313.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 309.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed REKONIX | 25c | 307.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed REKONIX | 21c | 288.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.81 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…0257backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 286.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 280$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked REKONIX | 23c | 280$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed REKONIX | 29c | 277.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.58 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 271$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 25c | 264.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked REKONIX | 27c | 208$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 201.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 200$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…a5a8backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 194.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 176.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 23c | 174.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed REKONIX | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 26c | 166.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked REKONIX | 32c | 145.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked REKONIX | 24c | 124$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 117.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed REKONIX | 27c | 104$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed REKONIX | 22c | 102.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed REKONIX | 24c | 101.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.