Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x370d5dead9167d564a897053d00b9997c0d51c439dcfddcb6c4b9bc368af8a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 5,085$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.96 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 2c | 2,496$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 3cpaid | +663.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 26c | 2,220$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.21 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,778$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 26c | 1,430$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.49 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 1,290$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 42c | 1,264$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.73 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 77c | 441.55$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 396.69$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 38c | 280$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 76c | 263.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 228.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 72c | 194.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 192.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…ada1backed Under | 72c | 155.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 20c | 133.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 76c | 130.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 24c | 122.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 30c | 99.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 98.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 36c | 88.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 88.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 65c | 76.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 63c | 70.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 31c | 57.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 34c | 49.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 38.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 49c | 34.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 63c | 31.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 76c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.