Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a165c6d060d7163b30b223196789a3bb63c23f08faab809e0812cf7cef73c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Zhiye FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Zhejiang Zhiye FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 2,200$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 2,109$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.62 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 1,840$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.68 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 30c | 779.81$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.91 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 699.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 591.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 30c | 299.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 72c | 277.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 30c | 275.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 242.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 175.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 156$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 115.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 112.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 69c | 90.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 67.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…9c37backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 31c | 48.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 30c | 46.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 29c | 42.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 75c | 28.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 69c | 23.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.