Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc119f71e848172a9dbaeb46366e1ae1527dc22118878a262305c82088fc6a59f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 676.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…5350backed Over | 62c | 380.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 332.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 65c | 244.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 35c | 142.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 131$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under | 38c | 116.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 66c | 112.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 35c | 111.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 66c | 60.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 59.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 34c | 43.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 65c | 38.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.