Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x762f30f345255a3333c31552cbe7998de4bb59783f3027732640f5d37ed42517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 55c | 9,100$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.97 | 181 | 54.1%98 W · 83 L | +19.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 7,844$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.13 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 58c | 1,912$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 36c | 1,683$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 1,626$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.62 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 739.04$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.52 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 44c | 530.31$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.97 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Over | 17c | 491$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.51 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 45c | 456.53$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 65c | 446.15$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.15 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over | 7c | 406.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.38per pick | 6cpaid | +717.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 361.46$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 348.82$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.42 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 55c | 322.02$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 50c | 299.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 44c | 293.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 48c | 283.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 50c | 227.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 45c | 218.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 49c | 203.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 77c | 186$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 70 | 90%63 W · 7 L | +17.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 171.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1,537 | 35.1%540 W · 997 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 170.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 39c | 169$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 46c | 166.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 153$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 58c | 144.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 14c | 102.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 62c | 96.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 35c | 85.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 74c | 80.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 474 | 55.5%263 W · 211 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 45c | 80.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Over | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 47c | 63.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 41c | 60.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 57.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 69c | 49.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 42c | 40.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 54c | 39.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 40c | 37.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 46c | 36.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 46c | 32.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 38c | 30.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 46c | 30.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Under | 70c | 22.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 19.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.