Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0460d0c9a63f715c08ec30d93189424d8cf5683d476b045f1e3bf2bc33f2c01d

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,346 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	24c	5,223$1,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.19	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	76c	2,963$2,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.69	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	75c	2,851$2,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.75	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	74c	2,611$1,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.23	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	25c	1,350$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.22	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over	75c	1,340$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.93	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under	25c	994.76$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.69	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over	72c	876.71$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.48	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	27c	846.59$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.58	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	27c	822.93$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.23	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	25c	764.84$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.36	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under	28c	714.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	26c	554.3$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.16	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over	75c	503.77$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.94	184	65.8%121 W · 63 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	33c	499.94$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.98	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	73c	463.54$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.12	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	75c	353.43$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.99	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x950a…71e4backed Under	7c	342.47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over	74c	324.32$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.32	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7859…7e8ebacked Over	75c	298.92$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.73	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	17c	298.34$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.13	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	26c	270.24$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.04	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over	75c	235$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.75	106	72.6%77 W · 29 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under	26c	211.54$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	15c	194.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	74c	183$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.5	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	25c	169.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa067…4b35backed Over	75c	168.47$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.62	159	59.1%94 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over	75c	162.67$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.67	42	73.8%31 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Over	75c	150$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc251…a5d3backed Over	75c	149.86$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.86	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	79c	149.15$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.95	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over	74c	134.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.59	150	40.7%61 W · 89 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Over	74c	131.81$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.27	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba0…14e4backed Under	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x935d…72f4backed Under	18c	112.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	+9.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over	74c	101.35$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.35	163	66.3%108 W · 55 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.75	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	118	41.5%49 W · 69 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Under	18c	98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	26c	84.42$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d7…5013backed Over	73c	71.23$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.23	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed Over	74c	68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	108	62%67 W · 41 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under	28c	67.72$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	170	47.6%81 W · 89 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over	76c	67$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.08	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3082…4a18backed Over	75c	65.52$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.38	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…de2dbacked Over	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Over	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x570b…0bfebacked Over	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	34	76.5%26 W · 8 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	63cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	72c	47.93$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.59	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	72c	47.39$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3610…4593backed Over	75c	45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	42c	44.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	78c	44.58$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.92	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	29c	44.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	28c	40.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	200	67.5%135 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae4…5c60backed Under	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	26c	39.47$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	236	65.3%154 W · 82 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Over	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	277	65.3%181 W · 96 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	35	82.9%29 W · 6 L	+4.3wins	+0.12per pick	71cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2c9…dd6fbacked Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	142	62.7%89 W · 53 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b42…9fc4backed Over	75c	24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.89	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf886…d03dbacked Over	75c	24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9de8…acc9backed Over	74c	20.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	47	76.6%36 W · 11 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	93	66.7%62 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ca…2f70backed Over	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	84	59.5%50 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc650…55a1backed Over	77c	19.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.33	293	63.1%185 W · 108 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc476…e414backed Over	75c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5this page
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Senegal won
Spread: Iraq (-4.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Senegal won
Spread: Senegal (-5.5)Iraq won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event