TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Senegal (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senegalof Senegal, Iraq
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$344,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b89…4244backed Iraq47c35,000$16,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,448.6717550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senegal49c30,180$14,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,355.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Iraq61c24,590$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Iraq53c22,003$11,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,644.1477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Senegal44c21,983$9,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,369.791,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Senegal33c17,544$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,714.072,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Iraq27c14,675$3,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,962.122317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Senegal18c12,500$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,249.9721937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Iraq65c8,033$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,205.141,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Iraq79c6,298$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.2374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Senegal17c6,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Iraq52c5,751$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,98514231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Senegal33c5,359$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.0622943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Iraq73c5,346$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.1939039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Senegal19c5,263$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.169823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Iraq69c4,469$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Iraq54c3,453$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.151,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Senegal51c3,436$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.262,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Senegal18c2,222$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.2289443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab3…afb7backed Iraq57c2,200$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Senegal38c1,943$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.5253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Iraq4c1,628$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1116046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…2cd9backed Iraq75c1,593$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.8640%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Senegal48c1,475$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.744,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Iraq56c1,392$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77715440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Iraq73c1,369$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Senegal44c1,367$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.6735244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Senegal38c1,361$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.291,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senegal18c1,325$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.4774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…7ea7backed Iraq76c1,319$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Senegal56c1,255$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9113447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Senegal56c1,247$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.282,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f6…6de6backed Iraq64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6403342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Iraq50c991.8$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.4385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Iraq54c964.66$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.212,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Senegal20c957.1$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.682623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senegal70c916.91$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Senegal42c820$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.219750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Iraq47c814.05$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5526459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Iraq56c717.12$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Senegal37c684.97$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.0422633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c6…276abacked Iraq64c647.5$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.48934.8%31 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9cf…c8b9backed Iraq29c631.08$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.635832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Senegal31c610.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.327034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Senegal18c600$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49247127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Senegal17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2422337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Iraq69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Senegal17c577.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.371,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Iraq73c570.83$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.4943230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Senegal18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.5616538.2%63 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Senegal39c540.41$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6513736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Senegal36c540.22$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Senegal26c500.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5821444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x728d…0775backed Senegal20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+142.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Senegal20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40020544.9%92 W · 113 L+14.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89cb…4fd8backed Senegal18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4104134.1%14 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Senegal17c499.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9915034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Senegal18c470.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.818846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Iraq47c469.16$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.616163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Iraq66c452.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013151.1%67 W · 64 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Senegal47c441.51$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Senegal43c426.18$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.159947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Iraq66c424.24$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Senegal18c419.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.0443139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Senegal40c405$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6177051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Iraq51c392.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Iraq55c367.22$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.654452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Iraq53c366.04$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19417459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Senegal18c343.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.473,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a8…dcb4backed Iraq55c328.9$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.919556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Senegal39c324.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8479149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Senegal22c321.46$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Iraq6c318.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Senegal58c306.06$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12962633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Senegal52c301.36$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.411926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Senegal51c273.24$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.219356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Senegal18c266.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.273,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Senegal19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.163842.1%16 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0287…4923backed Iraq59c250.07$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.543250%16 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Senegal18c244.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1520819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cf…9dc0backed Senegal17c240.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.612042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…ada4backed Senegal45c239.04$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Iraq41c238.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.681,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Senegal40c237.97$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9341551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Senegal25c232.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.981,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Senegal44c218.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3670750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Iraq47c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.517248.3%83 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Senegal18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16436534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Iraq73c200$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3319351.8%100 W · 93 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b8…4ab2backed Senegal55c199$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5510133.7%34 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecc…030abacked Senegal18c196.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Iraq51c171.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.539456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Senegal42c168.93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.232733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Iraq60c166.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f34…7bc8backed Senegal18c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.678543.5%37 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Iraq79c160.25$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Senegal19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8929529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Iraq66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017664.8%114 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Iraq74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Senegal20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.