Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7beea2d5a60b60e8e2afc1691af6fac6cade17ef68ba078af5729d4c0174d106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 19c | 11,786$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.38 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 6,555$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 70c | 5,379$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.13 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…27bdbacked Under | 75c | 2,969$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.72 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 17c | 2,588$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 4c | 2,101$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 16c | 1,652$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 1,644$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 11c | 1,254$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over | 20c | 1,025$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 21c | 953.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 34c | 799.16$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…4d37backed Over | 40c | 750.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 38c | 657.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 472.35$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.37 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 80c | 465.41$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 21c | 452.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 34c | 419.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 18c | 386.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 379.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 28c | 359.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 72c | 355.56$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 22c | 336.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 79c | 248.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Over | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 35c | 167.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b2edbacked Under | 68c | 148.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 142.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 22c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 62c | 122.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 62c | 113$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 18c | 108.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…a030backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 37c | 98.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 97.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 62c | 65.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…562abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 39.4%80 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…78d8backed Under | 70c | 40.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 67c | 38.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 62c | 35.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 165 | 56.4%93 W · 72 L | -17.5wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 62c | 28.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…99a6backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 78 | 70.5%55 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Iraq (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-5.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.