MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a8c4daafb40392c2eae20e2fa42a2c0b58e43b3ac475d69011b57db78a37ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Seattle Mariners, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 75,141$45,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,105.8 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 66,269$22,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,632.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 50,666$32,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,773.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 21,320$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,205.81 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 20,642$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.63 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 15,053$10,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.79 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 13,336$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,201 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 10,073$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.21 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.95 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 8,611$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 6,081$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 5,565$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.8 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 5,344$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 5,323$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.6 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 5,040$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 4,763$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.84 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 4,711$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 4,488$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.16 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 4,187$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.48 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 4,105$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 3,718$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.78 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 2,397$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.83 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,040$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.02 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,777$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.8 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,681$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.31 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 1,618$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.37 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,578$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.36 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +354.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,392$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.89 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 1,349$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 1,149$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,097$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 1,088$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.44 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 1,073$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.59 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 909.18$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.14 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 891$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 815.16$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 788.34$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.57 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 679.8$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 568$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 526.98$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 526.98$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 526.97$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…251cbacked Seattle Mariners | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 520$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…5e36backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 507.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…b7c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 502.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 499.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 472.81$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 470.05$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 461.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 440$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 440$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 400$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 397.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 395.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 392$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 383.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 373$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.93 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 361.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 353.71$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…e762backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 342.64$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 341$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 332$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 325.72$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 316.19$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 304.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 291.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 291.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 282.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 276$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 264.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 263.48$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 251.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.