MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b29093f0d411ae7a752c022833876a32a6c69b30ba70afd4896d5011e4a379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof San Francisco Giants, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 23,979$11,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,198.58 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 23,078$9,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,819.12 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 23,036$9,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,721 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 17,748$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,710.44 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 15,243$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.53 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 11,877$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,208.07 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 11,483$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,188.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 10,501$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.59 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 7,834$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.86 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 6,507$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.02 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 5,245$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.8 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 5,074$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.47 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 4,877$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.28 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 4,495$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.69 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 4,164$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.93 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 3,881$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.37 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 73c | 3,726$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.79 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,376$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.68 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,358$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.49 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 3,016$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.26 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 2,850$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.46 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…52d1backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,658$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,654$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.34 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 2,614$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.64 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,217$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.43 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 1,887$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.55 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…b6ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,720$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.52 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,600$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.1 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked San Francisco Giants | 7c | 1,400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,363$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.58 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 1,148$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.65 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked San Francisco Giants | 8c | 1,100$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,046$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.05 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 996.96$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.6 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 920.58$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.2 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 899.97$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.36 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 869.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 803.32$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 765.58$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.47 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 674.72$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.81 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 73c | 671.11$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.11 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 647.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.71 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 632.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.51 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Francisco Giants | 71c | 608.57$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.28 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 590.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.55 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 551.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.19 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 536.71$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.54 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 525.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.09 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 505$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked San Francisco Giants | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 500$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 480$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 470.22$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 466.25$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 451$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 441.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.34 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 441$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 425$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 416.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.79 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 414.65$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.39 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 402.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.07 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 400$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 387.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.26 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 374.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…7df4backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 373.04$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked San Francisco Giants | 78c | 371.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 362$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 350$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 280 | 31.1%87 W · 193 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 335.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 329.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.61 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 323.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.27 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 307.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked San Francisco Giants | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 298$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…1efbbacked San Francisco Giants | 68c | 294.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 288.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 283.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 279.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 270.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 161 | 38.5%62 W · 99 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.