Cricket · resolved market
ICC World Test Championship: Australia vs. South Africa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6db5f56654006ce42f2ed0940dc00486318a1299cbf9a64d3fb8c70c3cec953c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof Australia, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c54…da75backed South Africa | 66c | 4,027$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.14 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Australia | 45c | 3,690$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.66 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Australia | 0c | 2,789$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Australia | 65c | 2,207$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.41 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked South Africa | 77c | 1,745$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed South Africa | 52c | 1,093$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Australia | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Australia | 15c | 848.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed South Africa | 33c | 840.39$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.36 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed South Africa | 57c | 719.52$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed South Africa | 57c | 407.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…dc8cbacked South Africa | 29c | 310.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…1fbfbacked Australia | 4c | 310$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked South Africa | 36c | 301.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…9a64backed Australia | 70c | 255.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…b8a9backed South Africa | 39c | 240$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Australia | 46c | 235$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed South Africa | 27c | 168.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0e…041cbacked Australia | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Australia | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked South Africa | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…3d5bbacked Australia | 71c | 104.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed South Africa | 29c | 102$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…37fbbacked Australia | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Australia | 72c | 96.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed Australia | 55c | 90.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked South Africa | 63c | 78.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked South Africa | 27c | 70.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f51…36d3backed Australia | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…07ecbacked South Africa | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Australia | 76c | 55.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Australia | 66c | 55.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…1564backed South Africa | 34c | 55.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked South Africa | 32c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Australia | 24c | 50.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…d4d0backed South Africa | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Australia | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…846bbacked Australia | 44c | 47.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed South Africa | 27c | 46.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…c632backed Australia | 50c | 40.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Australia | 65c | 36.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…5c06backed South Africa | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc473…9be1backed Australia | 70c | 30.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…6f0cbacked Australia | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…3bb9backed Australia | 54c | 29.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…96afbacked Australia | 74c | 27.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…fe96backed Australia | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…1bc3backed Australia | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…613cbacked Australia | 56c | 24.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Australia | 65c | 23.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…74c8backed Australia | 73c | 23.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…c8a6backed Australia | 68c | 22.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Australia | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…b665backed South Africa | 77c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.