Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1df879110099f6297269f483c6423ecedf468cc5a93eff7540ce55fa83e0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 52c | 16,302$8,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,552.97 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…425cbacked Yes | 48c | 14,742$7,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,681.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 0c | 13,024$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 12,810$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.98 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 55c | 11,333$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.18 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 10,582$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.5 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 9,313$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.52 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 8,054$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 7,685$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.05 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 7,550$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 7,250$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.67 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 53c | 6,105$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.52 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Yes | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 4,867$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 48c | 3,418$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.26 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 72c | 2,338$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.34 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 2,296$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.4 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,183$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.74 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 52c | 2,078$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.34 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 55c | 1,830$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.27 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 1,779$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 1,536$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.32 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 16c | 1,516$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Yes | 49c | 1,173$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.47 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 49c | 1,152$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.18 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 9c | 993.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 52c | 972.21$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.61 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 58c | 862.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.76 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…aa4dbacked Yes | 46c | 847.52$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 37c | 776.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.18 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 8c | 758.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 46c | 750$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 733.12$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.89 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 60c | 661.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Yes | 47c | 581.57$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 20c | 574.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 46c | 529.33$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.84 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…aea9backed Yes | 46c | 508.23$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.44 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 41c | 495$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 479.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 46c | 478.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed No | 38c | 470.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 51c | 465.02$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 60c | 455.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…9dc0backed Yes | 45c | 431.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.29 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 15c | 409.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 5c | 400.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 53c | 391.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Yes | 47c | 386$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.58 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 53c | 372$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 15c | 350$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Yes | 46c | 333.72$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.21 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…266bbacked Yes | 64c | 319.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 61c | 295$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 277.21$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 17c | 272$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 46c | 245.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 29c | 229.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 227.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 45c | 218.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…d738backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 69c | 216.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 54c | 207.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 54c | 200.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Yes | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 43c | 188.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 52c | 160$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 141$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 54c | 135.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 134.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed No | 45c | 133.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 46c | 132.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 13c | 130.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…9e69backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?this page
- Morocco leading at halftime?No won
- Netherlands leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.