TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$548,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$551,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c102,957$10,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,219.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes17c22,879$3,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,823.242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes16c19,312$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.0356410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes16c18,577$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.3221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca5…fd56backed Yes16c12,093$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.952222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf956…2ec2backed Yes16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004219%8 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes15c9,946$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.9538817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes16c7,200$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15225124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes17c5,230$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.7535514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes16c4,960$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.7939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes16c4,890$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes16c2,882$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes16c2,878$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.46729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes16c2,630$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.815226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes16c2,081$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33317636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes16c2,047$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.911,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes16c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes17c1,706$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes16c1,514$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.227229.2%21 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes16c1,293$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0635719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010043%43 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes16c1,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd08c…b6b7backed Yes17c1,151$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.613821.1%8 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a42…1075backed Yes17c1,113$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes17c1,015$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4827520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9885…e8aabacked Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked Yes17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709324.7%23 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes16c970.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16024616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes16c899.26$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.631,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e00…6797backed Yes17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes16c800.01$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8133510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes16c800$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes17c797.24$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5332733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Yes16c781$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.968639.5%34 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc9…67c8backed Yes17c771.94$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes16c736.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9115240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes16c724.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.91330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Yes16c713.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes17c705.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205038%19 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c700.21$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Yes16c687.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes16c687.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes17c680.57$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.445932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75c…b6d3backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a31…ddc0backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff1…cb8fbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002718.5%5 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5844…035abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016533.9%56 W · 109 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e2…46ecbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x620a…2200backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f2…f186backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc205…f4bfbacked Yes16c622.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5980%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes16c617.35$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.141,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes16c603.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.59826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d1…e887backed Yes17c589.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006630.3%20 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c2…b793backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004139%16 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe11f…6920backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-47.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010918.3%20 W · 89 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Yes16c574.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.969324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes14c561.58$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.882,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3224…dc4dbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x468c…9b33backed Yes17c555$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.352516%4 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes16c522.06$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes17c517.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804916.3%8 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes17c484$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2834751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes14c479.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes16c470.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2212733.9%43 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes17c448.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.961,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes16c430$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.817735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe925…78c2backed Yes16c425.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1512236.9%45 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes15c395.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.266720.9%14 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c7…2699backed Yes17c391.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.621070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes16c391$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.567432.4%24 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…f702backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010722.4%24 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a2…787dbacked Yes16c359.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.23023.3%7 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78b3…8031backed Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020654.4%112 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes16c350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes16c346.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.512,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes17c346.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9428326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.