NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b581ca5cf00701445a5c12f8a59ebfd4ac64a4642def084e077513e8e36b8a6

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved: May 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,942 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	36c	3,993$1,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,555.32	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks	64c	3,912$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,509.81	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers	78c	2,310$1,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.01	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Knicks	64c	2,300$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks	63c	1,926$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.68	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	36c	1,638$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,052.64	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Cavaliers	37c	1,200$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Knicks	8c	683$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.73	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers	28c	584.52$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.07	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cavaliers	75c	530$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Knicks	17c	320$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	212	42%89 W · 123 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Knicks	17c	319.04$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.04	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers	36c	312.5$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Knicks	25c	308$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.98	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Cavaliers	18c	307.01$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.82	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Knicks	20c	209.29$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.39	312	38.5%120 W · 192 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers	34c	209.01$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.95	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe465…7f38backed Cavaliers	37c	207.68$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.84	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Knicks	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Knicks	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+16.4wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Knicks	66c	194.64$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.46	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Cavaliers	32c	188.12$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.06	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks	28c	183$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.73	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Knicks	23c	180$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Knicks	58c	171.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	236	52.5%124 W · 112 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Knicks	21c	167$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.07	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e0d…03c0backed Cavaliers	55c	160.25$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x268c…19aabacked Knicks	45c	160$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.86	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f18…f384backed Cavaliers	36c	152.19$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.4	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Knicks	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Cavaliers	35c	146.75$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.82	107	43.9%47 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Cavaliers	37c	136.48$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.48	88	43.2%38 W · 50 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Cavaliers	37c	135.14$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.14	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Knicks	23c	112$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	330	30.9%102 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Knicks	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	236	49.2%116 W · 120 L	+28.6wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Knicks	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	144	49.3%71 W · 73 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6962…7de9backed Cavaliers	19c	96.92$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.8	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+4.5wins	+0.13per pick	25cpaid	+51%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Cavaliers	34c	73.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.31	68	36.8%25 W · 43 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Knicks	21c	71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd6cf…1025backed Cavaliers	37c	68.81$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.35	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Knicks	64c	68.52$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.77	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Knicks	79c	66.24$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.33	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Knicks	79c	66.2$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.3	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Knicks	17c	61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Cavaliers	39c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.7	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Knicks	79c	56.29$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.47	210	46.2%97 W · 113 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…270abacked Knicks	79c	56.11$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.33	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers	36c	54.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Cavaliers	59c	49.29$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.29	152	48%73 W · 79 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Cavaliers	37c	48.65$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Knicks	70c	42.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Knicks	78c	30.53$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	492	47.2%232 W · 260 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaff4…8720backed Knicks	69c	29.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Cavaliers	36c	28.2$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.05	279	42.7%119 W · 160 L	-14.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0a40backed Knicks	64c	28.2$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…580cbacked Cavaliers	37c	27.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.45	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Cavaliers	60c	19.95$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.06	317	48.9%155 W · 162 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Knicks	62c	19.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Cavaliers	56c	18.13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	150	44.7%67 W · 83 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Knicks	69c	17.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9835…f8fdbacked Knicks	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Knicks	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinethis page
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event