TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tommaso Compagnucciof Tommaso Compagnucci, Guido Justo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef1b…8697backed Guido Justo32c36,564$11,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,734.957236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tommaso Compagnucci64c21,476$13,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,679.618,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Tommaso Compagnucci41c9,676$4,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,662.9814757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Tommaso Compagnucci58c3,557$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.024,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tommaso Compagnucci70c2,763$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.776,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Guido Justo59c2,615$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.857541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guido Justo52c1,703$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.458,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Guido Justo60c1,658$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Guido Justo59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Tommaso Compagnucci56c855.68$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.131,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Guido Justo60c833$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tommaso Compagnucci39c805.11$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.324,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tommaso Compagnucci40c799.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.991,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Tommaso Compagnucci39c715.17$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.2585634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Tommaso Compagnucci76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8922667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Guido Justo57c611.18$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.373056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Guido Justo64c558$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1294068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Guido Justo33c520.48$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.658,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tommaso Compagnucci79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1059,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Guido Justo58c481.99$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.787,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Guido Justo52c445.8$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.374,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Guido Justo43c418$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7495140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Guido Justo38c318.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.733,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Guido Justo59c290.18$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7280341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Tommaso Compagnucci76c273.75$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Guido Justo27c260.46$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.575851.7%30 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Guido Justo26c258$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.551,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Guido Justo58c240.77$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.61,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Guido Justo39c227.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.062,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Guido Justo35c212.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9712836.7%47 W · 81 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Guido Justo58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11660158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Guido Justo58c171$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1596844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Tommaso Compagnucci40c165.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.092,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Guido Justo60c164.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4522153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Guido Justo61c161.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.391,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Guido Justo57c139$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2399056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Tommaso Compagnucci57c138.14$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.537230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Guido Justo25c132.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.611,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Guido Justo58c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.659954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Guido Justo31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Guido Justo61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6156062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tommaso Compagnucci62c98.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.372,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Guido Justo55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5087854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb84…0ac8backed Guido Justo57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Guido Justo31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6645235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Guido Justo31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6648235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Guido Justo31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6669438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Guido Justo60c84.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Guido Justo58c77.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9197141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7328…3a00backed Guido Justo30c69.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.87226.4%19 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Tommaso Compagnucci73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4914369.9%100 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…4145backed Guido Justo17c62.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-73.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Guido Justo55c57.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8619745.7%90 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Tommaso Compagnucci60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Tommaso Compagnucci42c53.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.152,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Guido Justo20c50.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Guido Justo60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Guido Justo60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Guido Justo59c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.491,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Tommaso Compagnucci79c47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6835187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa9a5…2756backed Guido Justo25c46.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.592955.2%16 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+43.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Guido Justo25c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4443750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Tommaso Compagnucci45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Guido Justo25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021259.4%126 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Guido Justo59c39.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.591,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0444…55a5backed Guido Justo60c32.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Tommaso Compagnucci41c31.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7127853.2%148 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Guido Justo68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7d…c564backed Tommaso Compagnucci40c27.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb034…7cedbacked Tommaso Compagnucci41c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Guido Justo61c26.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0685742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Guido Justo60c24.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.972,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Guido Justo61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Tommaso Compagnucci75c23.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7719657.1%112 W · 84 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Guido Justo60c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.217554.9%96 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed Tommaso Compagnucci70c21.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4819568.2%133 W · 62 L+19.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Tommaso Compagnucci60c21.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6732732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Guido Justo57c20.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9658665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fe…9dd5backed Tommaso Compagnucci65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Guido Justo61c19.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128737.9%33 W · 54 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Tommaso Compagnucci60c18.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.592,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Guido Justo57c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1846848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd2…b1e4backed Guido Justo60c16.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.