Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x365e7461716962e0c6ef92ead776f0ada091cb413fd3807356e7b9ecb6538e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Lucia Bronzetti, Varvara Lepchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 6,700$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.45 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucia Bronzetti | 71c | 6,375$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 31c | 3,761$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 39c | 3,507$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.67 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Varvara Lepchenko | 45c | 3,028$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.13 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Lucia Bronzetti | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lucia Bronzetti | 76c | 1,239$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 19c | 1,172$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…833ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lucia Bronzetti | 69c | 597.88$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Varvara Lepchenko | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Varvara Lepchenko | 41c | 445.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Lucia Bronzetti | 57c | 330.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.06 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 324.77$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 289.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Varvara Lepchenko | 19c | 266.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Varvara Lepchenko | 13c | 233.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Varvara Lepchenko | 30c | 224.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Varvara Lepchenko | 34c | 203.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…e732backed Varvara Lepchenko | 45c | 178.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Varvara Lepchenko | 14c | 149.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Varvara Lepchenko | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Varvara Lepchenko | 35c | 143.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Lucia Bronzetti | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Varvara Lepchenko | 25c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Varvara Lepchenko | 32c | 130$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Varvara Lepchenko | 26c | 128.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 130 | 13.8%18 W · 112 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lucia Bronzetti | 67c | 126.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Varvara Lepchenko | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…5c94backed Varvara Lepchenko | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 31c | 119.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 103.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 39c | 101.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Lucia Bronzetti | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Varvara Lepchenko | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Varvara Lepchenko | 42c | 96.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 93.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Varvara Lepchenko | 29c | 92.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Varvara Lepchenko | 29c | 83.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Varvara Lepchenko | 27c | 80.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Varvara Lepchenko | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 76c | 75.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Varvara Lepchenko | 19c | 55.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a38bbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 76c | 52.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…a572backed Lucia Bronzetti | 72c | 51.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 199 | 77.4%154 W · 45 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lucia Bronzetti | 69c | 50.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Varvara Lepchenko | 26c | 49.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 64c | 45.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Lucia Bronzetti | 71c | 42.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Lucia Bronzetti | 74c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 44c | 39.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Lucia Bronzetti | 74c | 33.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Varvara Lepchenko | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Varvara Lepchenko | 37c | 30.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 160 | 28.8%46 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 27.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 234 | 68.8%161 W · 73 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lucia Bronzetti | 61c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Lucia Bronzetti | 62c | 24.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 69c | 23.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…a968backed Lucia Bronzetti | 70c | 19.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.