TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93bf…a572

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT19977.4%154 W · 45 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athens Open: Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.07
Cordenons: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$13.5
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Nicolas Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+32%+$7.99
Set 1 Winner: Kennedy vs Sheppbacked Shepp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$12.29
Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broombacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.51
Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Miguel Tobonbacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.85
Cordenons: Franco Agamenone vs Alex Barrenabacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$15.61
Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$20
Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+32%+$30.28
Swedish Open, Qualification: Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondesbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$37.22
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Henri Squirebacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$24.89
Swiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$39.02
Quito: Alan Magadan vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$31.26
Milan: Francisco Comesana vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$11.78
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$69.01
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$142.25
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.19
Wimbledon WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$36.2
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$51.03
Wimbledon WTA: Diane Parry vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$83.21
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$7.22
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$54.24
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clube do Remo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.