Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2de6e8f0487b7a557bb5c3ff01120ddad2b56a860070121829dd9daedbd66c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 4,807$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 55c | 3,110$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,287$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 2,248$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.71 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 22c | 1,565$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 23c | 1,412$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.81 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 52c | 1,336$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.51 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 1,019$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.85 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 44c | 632.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.52 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 60c | 555$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 78c | 358.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…2832backed Over | 55c | 356.65$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 65c | 338.46$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 331.77$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 274.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 49c | 244.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 228.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 208$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 54c | 203.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 74c | 189.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 51c | 175.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 59c | 168.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Under | 40c | 167.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Over | 65c | 166.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 44c | 160.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 160.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 150.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Over | 76c | 130.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 41c | 116.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 41c | 104.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…a572backed Over | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 38c | 91.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 61c | 91.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 88.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 60c | 82.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 82.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 61c | 82.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 80.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…04ddbacked Over | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 51c | 74.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 25c | 66.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 64.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 41c | 63.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 53.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 67c | 52.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 68c | 51.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 71c | 50.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 39c | 36.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Over | 74c | 33.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 78c | 31.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 79c | 30.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…e8f8backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 38c | 29.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 65c | 28.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 66c | 28.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…32fcbacked Under | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…5bdcbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.