Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e40ec41490b20f8190d9c6d18c312f78018b0794d00c3c5c70a047d4c2aede5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Bragaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, SC Braga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 38c | 1,924$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.43 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Braga | 68c | 1,313$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 539.06$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SC Braga | 67c | 419.2$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 310.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SC Braga | 55c | 213.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed SC Braga | 58c | 198.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed SC Braga | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Braga | 56c | 169$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 21c | 149.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 21c | 127$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed SC Braga | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed SC Braga | 56c | 89.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked SC Braga | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked SC Braga | 56c | 83.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 44c | 67.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SC Braga | 79c | 54.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed SC Braga | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SC Braga | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked SC Braga | 61c | 49.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed SC Braga | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed SC Braga | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed SC Braga | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked SC Braga | 56c | 32.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed SC Braga | 56c | 22.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…328fbacked SC Braga | 56c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.