TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rio Noguchiof Rio Noguchi, Charles Broom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$551,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x408f…b2f4backed Rio Noguchi54c49,867$27,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,856.362437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b18…5055backed Charles Broom55c36,576$20,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,028.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd7…a0cebacked Rio Noguchi73c34,232$24,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,365.392857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Rio Noguchi49c29,395$14,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,138.117672.4%55 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Charles Broom30c28,782$8,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,695.111,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Charles Broom21c19,499$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Charles Broom35c18,683$6,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,519.188,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Rio Noguchi38c12,057$4,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,487.53852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Charles Broom44c10,946$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.388,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4182…61ccbacked Charles Broom0c10,260$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick16cpaid+78.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf00…1199backed Rio Noguchi74c7,126$5,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.446456.3%36 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Charles Broom30c6,991$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.38,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Rio Noguchi48c6,816$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.674,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c0…22b4backed Rio Noguchi59c4,885$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Charles Broom53c4,800$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.193644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7568…2ce1backed Charles Broom48c4,184$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009052.2%47 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Charles Broom50c3,659$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.3710638.7%41 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Charles Broom31c2,995$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.7170041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Charles Broom51c2,851$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.474,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Rio Noguchi77c2,331$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8322647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Charles Broom50c2,038$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.873,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Rio Noguchi46c1,854$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.1353043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Charles Broom48c1,770$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.9833037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rio Noguchi67c1,614$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.33,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Charles Broom39c1,431$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.032,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Rio Noguchi44c1,380$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.132,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…83adbacked Charles Broom44c1,191$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.773063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Rio Noguchi56c1,100$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.25,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Charles Broom56c1,058$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.6215151.7%78 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Charles Broom54c1,041$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5628950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Charles Broom41c1,024$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.696,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x770f…ac44backed Charles Broom43c983$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Rio Noguchi79c900$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.336640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Rio Noguchi70c859.9$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3828221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Rio Noguchi57c842.26$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2339751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Rio Noguchi48c828.22$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.1332333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Charles Broom12c827.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.376,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rio Noguchi55c815.4$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.264,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Charles Broom44c799.04$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.279,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Charles Broom35c684.28$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23811028.2%31 W · 79 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Charles Broom38c638.12$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Charles Broom46c574.41$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.433,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Charles Broom46c565.23$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.820953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Charles Broom54c551.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Rio Noguchi57c525.59$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5948242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Charles Broom55c516.3$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28513262.9%83 W · 49 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Charles Broom43c503.32$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.966831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Charles Broom42c500.54$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Rio Noguchi61c493.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6382958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Rio Noguchi50c461.39$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3945256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0f…a5fcbacked Charles Broom48c419.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Charles Broom49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.732,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Rio Noguchi78c400$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.61,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Rio Noguchi54c399.98$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5940144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74a…25a2backed Charles Broom45c387.62$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4f…daa3backed Charles Broom35c384.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13320332.5%66 W · 137 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc28f…d02bbacked Charles Broom26c384.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf983…39a0backed Charles Broom25c381.03$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510135.6%36 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Rio Noguchi52c372.94$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3874743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4037…143bbacked Charles Broom54c368.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Charles Broom54c362.9$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2420846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Charles Broom37c362.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4114852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Charles Broom47c358.34$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.55,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x788e…3994backed Charles Broom11c356.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rio Noguchi58c347.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.674,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea7…41d3backed Rio Noguchi57c342.81$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.814847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e8…eebfbacked Charles Broom42c333.43$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Charles Broom37c321.64$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.991,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Rio Noguchi51c315.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9822552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Rio Noguchi50c300$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.757534.7%26 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Rio Noguchi33c300$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Charles Broom48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9918552.4%97 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Charles Broom55c287.75$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.989531.6%30 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5940…94c8backed Charles Broom33c286.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.157930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Rio Noguchi56c278.07$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0722245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Charles Broom22c263.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5732952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Rio Noguchi58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.628461.9%52 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rio Noguchi56c253.83$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.176,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Charles Broom28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.615536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Charles Broom50c245.25$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.853,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Rio Noguchi42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.173350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Charles Broom43c227.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.81,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf6…dd05backed Rio Noguchi46c217.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.864450%22 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Rio Noguchi47c212.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6425158.6%147 W · 104 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Rio Noguchi52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.544845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Charles Broom42c210.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3176355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Charles Broom47c210.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.91,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Rio Noguchi47c209.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.878847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Rio Noguchi48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe22…b709backed Charles Broom53c208.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Charles Broom39c206.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.891,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rio Noguchi54c202.15$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.684,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Charles Broom50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Charles Broom25c199.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Charles Broom45c196$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.164,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dec…53b0backed Rio Noguchi42c190.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Charles Broom20c186.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.931,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2659…e15abacked Charles Broom57c174.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.743043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Charles Broom32c174.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3633557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc83…fdd4backed Charles Broom41c170.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.862462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.