TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7568…2ce1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT9052.2%47 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+54%+$2,160.1
Cordenons: Hugo Dellien vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Kitzbuehel: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Arantxa Rusbacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$728.51
Istanbul 2: Vera Zvonareva vs Viktoria Hruncakovabacked Viktoria Hruncakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Lincoln: Coleman Wong vs Anton Sheppbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$525.25
Lincoln: J.J. Wolf vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$1,582.95
Pozoblanco: Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$988.06
Croatia Open: Dino Prizmic vs Alex Molcanbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Athens Open: Mai Hontama vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,225.81
Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,084.75
Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Croatia Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$941.18
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,075.12
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Taburbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,278.69
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$4,451.61
Istanbul 2: Kristina Penickova vs Aliona Faleibacked Kristina Penickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Weronika Falkowskabacked Weronika Falkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Istanbul 2: Harmony Tan vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Anastasia Gasanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Alina Charaevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$702.7
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.89
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$795.43
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,713.57
Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.13
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.