Tennis · resolved market
Lincoln: Coleman Wong vs Anton Shepp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd949f25080abf7f93958a9c0faa8b4d784e2df24ca411405072c5be13ac7a78c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coleman Wongof Coleman Wong, Anton Shepp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Anton Shepp | 21c | 9,019$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anton Shepp | 13c | 7,196$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anton Shepp | 11c | 4,180$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Anton Shepp | 14c | 2,897$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.12 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7568…2ce1backed Coleman Wong | 79c | 2,525$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.25 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Coleman Wong | 75c | 2,439$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.6 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Anton Shepp | 13c | 2,423$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.12 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anton Shepp | 17c | 2,288$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Anton Shepp | 9c | 1,576$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Anton Shepp | 17c | 1,518$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Anton Shepp | 1c | 1,387$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anton Shepp | 11c | 890.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Anton Shepp | 21c | 511.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anton Shepp | 13c | 443.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Anton Shepp | 17c | 409.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Anton Shepp | 18c | 400$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Anton Shepp | 7c | 398.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Anton Shepp | 17c | 270.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Anton Shepp | 19c | 269.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Coleman Wong | 77c | 245.17$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Anton Shepp | 18c | 206.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…f8bcbacked Anton Shepp | 17c | 189.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Anton Shepp | 18c | 129.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Anton Shepp | 11c | 106.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Anton Shepp | 19c | 102.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Anton Shepp | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Coleman Wong | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Anton Shepp | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Coleman Wong | 79c | 60.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Anton Shepp | 19c | 58.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Coleman Wong | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Coleman Wong | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln: Coleman Wong vs Anton Sheppthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wong vs SheppWong won
- Set Handicap: Shepp (-1.5) vs Wong (+1.5)Wong won
- Set Handicap: Wong (-1.5) vs Shepp (+1.5)Wong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.