Tennis · resolved market
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a8fbf2b785d9005e63041d337fab99f986340d9d04dea1615fce5dc3d71d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Damir Dzumhurof Damir Dzumhur, Matteo Arnaldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,023,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,037,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,023,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Matteo Arnaldi | 64c | 381,231$242,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242,881.47 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Damir Dzumhur | 38c | 114,208$43,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,821.18 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Damir Dzumhur | 45c | 80,681$36,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,418.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Damir Dzumhur | 54c | 34,392$18,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,916.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Matteo Arnaldi | 55c | 34,264$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Damir Dzumhur | 48c | 29,245$13,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,255 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Damir Dzumhur | 41c | 28,000$11,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,520 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 23,649$11,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,769.97 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Damir Dzumhur | 48c | 23,236$11,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,038.44 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Damir Dzumhur | 46c | 22,257$10,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,940.36 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 21,103$9,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,162.66 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 14,551$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.07 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Damir Dzumhur | 37c | 13,217$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,346.77 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Damir Dzumhur | 43c | 13,115$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.77 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 13,055$5,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,538.83 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Damir Dzumhur | 44c | 11,298$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.11 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Damir Dzumhur | 49c | 10,473$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.47 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 10,297$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Damir Dzumhur | 38c | 9,648$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,003.08 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Damir Dzumhur | 30c | 9,535$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,668.81 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Damir Dzumhur | 42c | 9,022$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.59 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 8,705$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.57 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Damir Dzumhur | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 8,400$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.36 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 67c | 8,061$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 49c | 8,000$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.57 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 7,872$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.19 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Damir Dzumhur | 44c | 7,615$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.4 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 7,462$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Damir Dzumhur | 32c | 7,405$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.67 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 6,242$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.36 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Damir Dzumhur | 55c | 6,073$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7568…2ce1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 6,062$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 14c | 5,708$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.45 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Damir Dzumhur | 47c | 5,562$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.31 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 5,208$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.12 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 4,960$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.15 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Damir Dzumhur | 34c | 4,524$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.89 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Damir Dzumhur | 34c | 4,411$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.64 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Damir Dzumhur | 52c | 4,331$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.03 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Damir Dzumhur | 41c | 4,297$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.99 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 4,283$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.38 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 4,256$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.91 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Damir Dzumhur | 34c | 4,188$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.26 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 4,172$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.33 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 4,107$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.15 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 4,040$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.79 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Damir Dzumhur | 34c | 3,912$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.32 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Damir Dzumhur | 30c | 3,594$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.78 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 3,501$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 3,414$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.19 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Damir Dzumhur | 30c | 3,363$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.82 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Damir Dzumhur | 34c | 3,346$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.93 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Damir Dzumhur | 30c | 3,341$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.22 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Damir Dzumhur | 30c | 3,315$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.64 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Damir Dzumhur | 30c | 3,240$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.79 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Damir Dzumhur | 30c | 3,234$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.1 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 3,220$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Damir Dzumhur | 41c | 3,101$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.77 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 3,043$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 61c | 2,843$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Damir Dzumhur | 57c | 2,781$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 13c | 2,601$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Damir Dzumhur | 35c | 2,600$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Damir Dzumhur | 30c | 2,554$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.62 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Matteo Arnaldi | 55c | 2,506$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Damir Dzumhur | 44c | 2,355$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.54 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Damir Dzumhur | 39c | 2,332$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.83 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Damir Dzumhur | 60c | 2,331$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.86 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked Damir Dzumhur | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 2,188$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Damir Dzumhur | 42c | 2,152$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.57 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…3adbbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 2,086$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Damir Dzumhur | 32c | 2,080$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.08 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Damir Dzumhur | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.91 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Damir Dzumhur | 42c | 1,950$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.65 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Damir Dzumhur | 44c | 1,777$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 58c | 1,740$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.2 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matteo Arnaldi | 50c | 1,734$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Damir Dzumhur | 44c | 1,616$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.82 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Matteo Arnaldi | 42c | 1,598$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.7 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Damir Dzumhur | 63c | 1,587$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.91 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,571$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 1,500$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 34c | 1,497$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.99 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Damir Dzumhur | 33c | 1,454$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.95 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Matteo Arnaldi | 60c | 1,425$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Damir Dzumhur | 41c | 1,424$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.34 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 1,366$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.62 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,338$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.21 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Damir Dzumhur | 44c | 1,300$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.5 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Damir Dzumhur | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Matteo Arnaldi | 40c | 1,265$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Damir Dzumhur | 32c | 1,252$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.56 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 70.2%73 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 1,248$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Damir Dzumhur | 31c | 1,235$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.43 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 1,230$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.99 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Damir Dzumhur | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldithis page
- Damir Dzumhur vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Dzumhur vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Dzumhur vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Dzumhur vs ArnaldiDzumhur won
- Set 2 Winner: Dzumhur vs ArnaldiArnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.