Tennis · resolved market

Lincoln: J.J. Wolf vs Spencer Johnson

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd07ad4327c71533b2bcf843bc4ac2f432f1ff695383188013634a0bd485662c

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spencer Johnsonof J.J. Wolf, Spencer Johnson
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $93,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,661 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x54ba…04e4backed J.J. Wolf	38c	15,145$5,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,750	717	29.8%214 W · 503 L	-39.8wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Spencer Johnson	66c	10,000$6,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,353.25	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-14.5wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10a0…217cbacked J.J. Wolf	0c	5,171$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed J.J. Wolf	37c	5,116$1,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,887.4	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7568…2ce1backed Spencer Johnson	56c	3,583$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.95	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed J.J. Wolf	64c	2,617$1,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,685.8	312	53.2%166 W · 146 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Spencer Johnson	60c	1,497$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597	464	53%246 W · 218 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea4…fac9backed J.J. Wolf	63c	1,435$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.24	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	63cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spencer Johnson	38c	1,395$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.07	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked J.J. Wolf	61c	1,300$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.8	706	52.7%372 W · 334 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spencer Johnson	38c	1,005$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.16	4,241	52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L	+65.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Spencer Johnson	39c	1,001$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.51	222	45.9%102 W · 120 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked J.J. Wolf	62c	1,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.08	3,256	48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L	-53.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Spencer Johnson	64c	920.75$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.75	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed J.J. Wolf	16c	918.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.49	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed J.J. Wolf	62c	806.45$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Spencer Johnson	41c	805$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.97	1,040	58.2%605 W · 435 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spencer Johnson	59c	800$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.58	9,286	44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L	-245.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Spencer Johnson	66c	700$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.4	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2180…df40backed J.J. Wolf	51c	691.72$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.75	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf30…5c23backed J.J. Wolf	61c	686.56$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.55	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-8.2wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Spencer Johnson	39c	683.56$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.7	922	37.4%345 W · 577 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spencer Johnson	55c	601.12$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.58	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Spencer Johnson	54c	546$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.39	1,111	45.3%503 W · 608 L	-35.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Spencer Johnson	37c	540.54$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.54	5,261	28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L	-19.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Spencer Johnson	67c	510$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.79	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed J.J. Wolf	62c	477.65$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296	351	64.1%225 W · 126 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Spencer Johnson	38c	439.38$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.43	242	29.8%72 W · 170 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked J.J. Wolf	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	312	37.8%118 W · 194 L	-24.5wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Spencer Johnson	40c	371.91$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.76	347	48.1%167 W · 180 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed J.J. Wolf	61c	357.89$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.24	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Spencer Johnson	50c	338.62$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.12	1,365	43.3%591 W · 774 L	-26.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed J.J. Wolf	28c	327.77$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.09	381	41.2%157 W · 224 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked J.J. Wolf	43c	326.88$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.95	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed J.J. Wolf	59c	277.17$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.94	1,959	43.7%857 W · 1,102 L	-20.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Spencer Johnson	37c	271.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.64	7,049	39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L	-20.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed J.J. Wolf	10c	269.47$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	3,661	45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Spencer Johnson	43c	252.5$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.42	2,447	45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Spencer Johnson	39c	232.39$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.03	2,735	34%931 W · 1,804 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed J.J. Wolf	17c	230.13$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	4,934	41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L	-77.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Spencer Johnson	77c	229.04$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.24	6,599	50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L	+259.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Spencer Johnson	38c	221.35$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.35	917	54%495 W · 422 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8d…f2c7backed Spencer Johnson	46c	216.45$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.45	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spencer Johnson	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	4,765	47%2,238 W · 2,527 L	-82.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Spencer Johnson	38c	198.95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.95	482	42.5%205 W · 277 L	-18.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked J.J. Wolf	60c	186.42$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	179	43.6%78 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed J.J. Wolf	53c	174.55$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.64	2,032	46.9%952 W · 1,080 L	-12.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Spencer Johnson	59c	170.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.69	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed J.J. Wolf	61c	170$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.85	3,901	50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spencer Johnson	64c	140.51$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.82	6,449	46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L	-42.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed J.J. Wolf	32c	129.23$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	1,062	31.8%338 W · 724 L	-27.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed J.J. Wolf	48c	125.58$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	549	55.2%303 W · 246 L	-21.0wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb434…2678backed J.J. Wolf	31c	125.18$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.03	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.0wins	-0.31per pick	46cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Spencer Johnson	38c	124.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.42	1,882	35.5%669 W · 1,213 L	+26.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Spencer Johnson	42c	122.04$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.91	433	47.3%205 W · 228 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Spencer Johnson	38c	119.98$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	856	37.7%323 W · 533 L	+7.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f4…9efdbacked Spencer Johnson	43c	117.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.1	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91d9…8ba0backed Spencer Johnson	75c	115.29$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.32	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed J.J. Wolf	62c	113.64$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	394	69%272 W · 122 L	+27.8wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03eb…f36abacked Spencer Johnson	70c	108.68$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Spencer Johnson	38c	104.98$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.57	357	47.9%171 W · 186 L	+16.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Spencer Johnson	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.1	1,475	35.2%519 W · 956 L	-14.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Spencer Johnson	38c	99.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.15	1,250	44.7%559 W · 691 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed J.J. Wolf	42c	91.9$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.41	4,703	49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L	+166.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed J.J. Wolf	62c	87.61$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.99	131	37.4%49 W · 82 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Spencer Johnson	39c	85$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.2	1,062	42%446 W · 616 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked Spencer Johnson	60c	83.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.57	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed J.J. Wolf	60c	82.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	65%76 W · 41 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spencer Johnson	71c	81.99$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	1,532	40.7%624 W · 908 L	-48.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked J.J. Wolf	62c	81.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.32	503	40%201 W · 302 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed J.J. Wolf	30c	70.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	783	50.3%394 W · 389 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Spencer Johnson	38c	69.24$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.81	239	42.7%102 W · 137 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed J.J. Wolf	61c	65.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2,274	58%1,318 W · 956 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Spencer Johnson	39c	59.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.71	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked J.J. Wolf	62c	56.81$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	241	59.3%143 W · 98 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed J.J. Wolf	29c	52.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	481	52%250 W · 231 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Spencer Johnson	47c	51.54$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.06	659	42.2%278 W · 381 L	-25.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cca…69d2backed Spencer Johnson	80c	51.24$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Spencer Johnson	38c	51$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.64	325	46.2%150 W · 175 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Spencer Johnson	61c	50.59$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.56	2,061	48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L	+35.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f2…1f23backed J.J. Wolf	61c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	61cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bb6…4938backed Spencer Johnson	73c	49.65$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.26	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+86.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Spencer Johnson	61c	47.29$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	1,102	56.5%623 W · 479 L	+52.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spencer Johnson	64c	46.74$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.02	1,629	49%798 W · 831 L	-51.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed J.J. Wolf	31c	43.41$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	3,068	57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L	+173.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked J.J. Wolf	62c	40.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.74	198	52.5%104 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed J.J. Wolf	62c	40$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed J.J. Wolf	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	1,077	52.4%564 W · 513 L	+30.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x826a…b27cbacked Spencer Johnson	73c	39.62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.62	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	76cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked J.J. Wolf	61c	35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	1,794	60.2%1,080 W · 714 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked J.J. Wolf	43c	32.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	196	37.2%73 W · 123 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Spencer Johnson	35c	32.54$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.05	625	49.6%310 W · 315 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked J.J. Wolf	62c	32.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Spencer Johnson	41c	31.45$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.43	372	66.7%248 W · 124 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Spencer Johnson	39c	30.33$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.44	482	45.6%220 W · 262 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spencer Johnson	45c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.58	1,175	52.9%622 W · 553 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Spencer Johnson	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	739	51.7%382 W · 357 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f92…7379backed Spencer Johnson	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	180	68.9%124 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	69cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd1…f311backed J.J. Wolf	62c	27.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	255	51%130 W · 125 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked J.J. Wolf	60c	27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	371	53.9%200 W · 171 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lincoln: J.J. Wolf vs Spencer Johnsonthis page
Set Handicap: Johnson (-1.5) vs Wolf (+1.5)Johnson won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lincoln: J.J. Wolf vs Spencer Johnson

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event