TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91d9…8ba0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.98
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giuntabacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.78
Bloomfield Hills: Andres Martin vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Livesport Prague Open: Laura Samson vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Hamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellisbacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.18
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
ITF Brisbane: Matt Hulme vs Colin Sinclairbacked Colin Sinclair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Brisbane: Jeremy Beale vs Zack Viialabacked Jeremy Beale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valientebacked Izan Almazan Valiente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$117.06
Granby: Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassonebacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$108.66
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.56
Lincoln: J.J. Wolf vs Spencer Johnsonbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$29.32
Pozoblanco: Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$295.87
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$158.9
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.