Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Joshua Charlton vs Blake Ellis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd66640923a7bdc9cef54199e5ef59a2434c2daf5b973dc1d3fddd6bb3298432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blake Ellisof Joshua Charlton, Blake Ellis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blake Ellis | 51c | 16,969$8,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,342.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Joshua Charlton | 45c | 8,783$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joshua Charlton | 55c | 7,670$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Joshua Charlton | 54c | 1,559$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.21 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Joshua Charlton | 45c | 1,522$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.82 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Blake Ellis | 63c | 864.74$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.37 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Blake Ellis | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blake Ellis | 47c | 603.74$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Joshua Charlton | 36c | 571.33$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Joshua Charlton | 28c | 565.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Blake Ellis | 56c | 498.25$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Blake Ellis | 60c | 469.57$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Blake Ellis | 62c | 382.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Joshua Charlton | 41c | 343.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Joshua Charlton | 55c | 336.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Blake Ellis | 59c | 289.07$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Joshua Charlton | 42c | 264.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Blake Ellis | 55c | 251.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Joshua Charlton | 56c | 250.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Joshua Charlton | 45c | 239.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Blake Ellis | 64c | 190$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Blake Ellis | 56c | 174.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Blake Ellis | 55c | 171$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Joshua Charlton | 47c | 160.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Blake Ellis | 63c | 155.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Joshua Charlton | 56c | 120.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joshua Charlton | 41c | 118.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Blake Ellis | 53c | 110.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Blake Ellis | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Joshua Charlton | 56c | 97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Joshua Charlton | 44c | 94.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Blake Ellis | 62c | 91.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Blake Ellis | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…8ba0backed Blake Ellis | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Blake Ellis | 47c | 80.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Blake Ellis | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Joshua Charlton | 58c | 73.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…bdc7backed Joshua Charlton | 45c | 68.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Joshua Charlton | 57c | 65.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Blake Ellis | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Blake Ellis | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Joshua Charlton | 33c | 56.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Blake Ellis | 56c | 50.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Blake Ellis | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Blake Ellis | 44c | 41.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Blake Ellis | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Blake Ellis | 60c | 38.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Joshua Charlton | 38c | 30.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Blake Ellis | 46c | 30.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Blake Ellis | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Blake Ellis | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Blake Ellis | 61c | 28.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Blake Ellis | 66c | 19.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.