Tennis · resolved market
Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Philip Sekulic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x589a23d72df85ff44a4384ab381310c45531ec83587ae9f987efe60279b8302e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Philip Sekulic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philip Sekulic | 21c | 1,617$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Philip Sekulic | 13c | 1,508$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 1,319$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.26 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philip Sekulic | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Philip Sekulic | 25c | 876.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Philip Sekulic | 26c | 758.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philip Sekulic | 18c | 643.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked Philip Sekulic | 14c | 596.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Philip Sekulic | 28c | 537.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Philip Sekulic | 10c | 526.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Philip Sekulic | 15c | 524.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Philip Sekulic | 24c | 495.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Philip Sekulic | 20c | 469.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 435$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Philip Sekulic | 20c | 263.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 258.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Philip Sekulic | 31c | 237.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…904dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 80c | 225.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philip Sekulic | 28c | 212.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Philip Sekulic | 29c | 208.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Philip Sekulic | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Philip Sekulic | 23c | 162$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 151.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Philip Sekulic | 27c | 143.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Philip Sekulic | 28c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Philip Sekulic | 28c | 136.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 79c | 133$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 73c | 122.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Philip Sekulic | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Philip Sekulic | 32c | 102.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f871backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…794dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 79c | 98.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…55f8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 73c | 95.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Philip Sekulic | 28c | 84.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Philip Sekulic | 22c | 81.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 72.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Philip Sekulic | 29c | 68.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Philip Sekulic | 36c | 60.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 52.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 52.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Philip Sekulic | 29c | 51.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Philip Sekulic | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 75c | 48.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…722ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 41.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 74c | 40.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Philip Sekulic | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Philip Sekulic | 29c | 35.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…9f01backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 66c | 30.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 71c | 28.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 27.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 75c | 24.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 79c | 24.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 65c | 22.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 77c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 71c | 15.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.