Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Alina Charaeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2abffac2b87164c3158986a57c3851d9822bd2849fd2513d7387f95c2e623ff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucrezia Stefaniniof Lucrezia Stefanini, Alina Charaeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Alina Charaeva | 52c | 11,597$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 48c | 6,364$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.26 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 48c | 3,386$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.83 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.62 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Alina Charaeva | 12c | 1,496$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.39 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Alina Charaeva | 56c | 1,111$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…f6b5backed Alina Charaeva | 65c | 893.34$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.67 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 59c | 502.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alina Charaeva | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Alina Charaeva | 41c | 490.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Alina Charaeva | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 48c | 485.4$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 15c | 413.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.33 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 42c | 364.49$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 59c | 339.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 13c | 323.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.21 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 22c | 265.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 41c | 248.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Alina Charaeva | 65c | 210.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 53c | 198.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alina Charaeva | 53c | 166$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Alina Charaeva | 40c | 160.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 54c | 132.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 50c | 120.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…3f90backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 46c | 116.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Alina Charaeva | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 16c | 85.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Alina Charaeva | 35c | 85.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…6c17backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 68c | 73.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alina Charaeva | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 42c | 62.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 49c | 53.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 54c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 683 | 38.2%261 W · 422 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Alina Charaeva | 30c | 39.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Alina Charaeva | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 39c | 32.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -26.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 40c | 31.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 582 | 48.3%281 W · 301 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed Alina Charaeva | 63c | 28.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Alina Charaeva | 78c | 24.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 64c | 23.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 50c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 58c | 22.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.