Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x998ddf321cfacc7a8fc4bf603c562bf8235af35f21cc6c963d88467e7628e8ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Pavlovicof Luka Pavlovic, Harry Wendelken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Harry Wendelken | 69c | 6,400$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 5,562$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.39 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Harry Wendelken | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 2,452$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.71 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 2,333$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.9 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 38c | 2,105$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Harry Wendelken | 9c | 1,612$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Harry Wendelken | 54c | 1,137$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.41 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…26f8backed Harry Wendelken | 39c | 1,083$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 1,082$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.87 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luka Pavlovic | 55c | 862.29$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.51 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 659.19$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Harry Wendelken | 39c | 641.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Harry Wendelken | 51c | 515.47$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 456.49$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Harry Wendelken | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…9a48backed Harry Wendelken | 40c | 353.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Luka Pavlovic | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Luka Pavlovic | 39c | 328.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Harry Wendelken | 40c | 313.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 309.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 288.95$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…e732backed Luka Pavlovic | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 230.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…1f40backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 199.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Harry Wendelken | 26c | 182.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Luka Pavlovic | 74c | 178.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…375bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 31c | 175.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 163.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Harry Wendelken | 31c | 151.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 149.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Harry Wendelken | 14c | 148.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…589abacked Harry Wendelken | 63c | 145.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Harry Wendelken | 71c | 140$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Harry Wendelken | 33c | 137.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 133.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Harry Wendelken | 79c | 126.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Luka Pavlovic | 42c | 118.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Harry Wendelken | 38c | 102.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Harry Wendelken | 40c | 101.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luka Pavlovic | 37c | 91.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Harry Wendelken | 37c | 86.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Harry Wendelken | 49c | 77.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luka Pavlovic | 71c | 63.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Luka Pavlovic | 43c | 58.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Harry Wendelken | 67c | 57.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Harry Wendelken | 39c | 51.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 33c | 39.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 38.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Harry Wendelken | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Luka Pavlovic | 55c | 27.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 27.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…0f85backed Luka Pavlovic | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Harry Wendelken | 66c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Harry Wendelken | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelkenthis page
- Luka Pavlovic vs. Harry Wendelken: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Pavlovic vs. Wendelken: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Pavlovic (-1.5) vs Wendelken (+1.5)Wendelken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.