WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e1bb64c4d4871c32e32b9fd69dfe891ef709872d815bfb4d6ef218cf725652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 50c | 25,169$12,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,539.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 11,998$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.35 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 50c | 3,218$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 3,105$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 2,238$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 1,495$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.84 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 1,336$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.87 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Under | 46c | 1,191$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…ad6dbacked Over | 44c | 769.39$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 51c | 518.05$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 246$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…c204backed Over | 51c | 203.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 51c | 190.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 56c | 177.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 42c | 144.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…c234backed Under | 39c | 121.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Under | 50c | 100.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bd…57adbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Over | 51c | 74.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Under | 50c | 71.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 51c | 53.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 51c | 42.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…9742backed Under | 63c | 39.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 55c | 35.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Over | 51c | 31.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Over | 37c | 31.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 50c | 31.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 77c | 30.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Under | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 51c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 50c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Over | 51c | 24.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Under | 51c | 22.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…f131backed Over | 51c | 22.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix MercuryLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.