MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94bf44ec3874fd361409ad6877841629b05686007768ab636fb90f28144beeb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,244,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 333,374$176,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,354.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 291,114$136,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,290.4 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 201,644$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.25 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 150,000$70,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,199.9 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 83,109$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.63 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 72,400$37,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,910.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 40,598$12,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,233.35 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 36,000$17,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,539.97 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 24,077$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.65 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 21,111$10,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,977.72 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 20,118$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,118.06 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 14,481$8,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.97 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 14,303$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 14,182$5,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,567.06 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 13,801$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.7 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 11,250$8,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.07 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 10,500$5,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,541.14 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 10,142$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,785.65 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.91 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 9,896$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145.83 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 8,955$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.44 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 8,600$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 7,717$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.35 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 7,272$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.64 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 5,757$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.83 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 5,292$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.14 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 5,120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 5,100$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.48 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 5,022$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.95 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 4,941$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.48 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,573$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.68 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 4,421$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.78 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 4,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 4,398$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.78 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 4,305$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.82 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 4,212$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.95 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 4,063$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.36 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 4,000$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.45 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 3,986$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 3,929$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.41 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e3eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 3,533$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 3,398$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…b112backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,297$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 3,197$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.23 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 3,131$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.15 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,824$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.99 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 2,708$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,653$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 2,496$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.78 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,380$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.56 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 2,227$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,109$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,919$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.27 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,795$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.33 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…f25dbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,607$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.62 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,508$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,501$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.55 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,452$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.04 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,421$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,390$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,355$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,233$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.06 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,216$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,132$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 1,063$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.7 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,062$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 1,052$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,040$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.41 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,033$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.87 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,025$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.98 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 948$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.88 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…a12ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 947.55$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 944.66$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 934.09$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 875.18$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 845.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 813.79$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.79 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 800.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.