Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 4: Opetaia vs. Glanton (Cruiserweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac84dd31b52c19a8157ddbe2cbf39ed37f0e0f8caa515979150a0102660e55c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Opetaiaof Opetaia, Glanton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,568 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Glanton | 8c | 3,333$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…38acbacked Glanton | 9c | 2,275$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Glanton | 13c | 1,532$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Glanton | 8c | 1,392$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Glanton | 6c | 1,250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Glanton | 8c | 714.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Glanton | 5c | 609.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…be02backed Glanton | 7c | 452.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…6e4cbacked Glanton | 8c | 408.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Glanton | 8c | 281.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Glanton | 6c | 244.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Glanton | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Glanton | 13c | 214.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Glanton | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +329.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…ab06backed Glanton | 7c | 188.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Glanton | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Opetaia | 77c | 185.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Glanton | 7c | 168.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Glanton | 7c | 168.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Glanton | 6c | 156.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Glanton | 7c | 156.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Glanton | 6c | 156.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…18ccbacked Glanton | 9c | 140.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…4406backed Glanton | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2466backed Glanton | 12c | 110.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Glanton | 26c | 71.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.