NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774bd60f2d32b7f849f94013ab4d219dac3925ccd0cfa29f61a62b4a5387930b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 40c | 22,222$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.8 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 60c | 20,546$12,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,218.52 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 8,126$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,583.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…5c9abacked Over | 47c | 6,898$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…f034backed Over | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 4,943$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 4,173$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed Over | 47c | 3,390$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 62c | 2,823$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.43 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.3 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 1,961$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 1,734$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.75 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 1,544$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 40c | 1,106$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.42 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 40c | 1,063$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.2 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Over | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.72 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…e9c8backed Over | 46c | 913.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…e597backed Over | 48c | 844.08$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 764.5$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 39c | 608.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 573.16$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.04 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 529.38$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebd…38cfbacked Over | 2c | 527.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 54c | 509.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 53c | 499.95$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Over | 47c | 487.26$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 53c | 463.37$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 457.41$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 53c | 448.51$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 53c | 448.51$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 40c | 385.72$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 60c | 345.65$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 342.77$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 40c | 308.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 52c | 243.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 225.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 40c | 218.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 214.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 59c | 213.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 66c | 212.69$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 40c | 208.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 53c | 198.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 53c | 198.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 53c | 198.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 62c | 192.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 43c | 182.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Over | 47c | 164.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 57c | 163.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 54c | 162.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 44c | 162.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 41c | 161.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 44c | 144.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 60c | 137.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 40c | 136.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…7197backed Over | 32c | 119.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 61c | 117.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 117.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 106.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 38c | 100.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 60c | 99.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 85.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 85.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 44c | 78.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 42c | 77.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 63c | 71.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Under | 56c | 61.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e80fbacked Over | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Under | 64c | 58.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 61c | 56.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 52.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5this page
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Luke Kornet: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.