TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c11,027$5,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,844.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over54c7,904$4,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.0217055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Under48c7,585$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,944.183941%16 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c6,293$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.361,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over50c3,447$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.4817052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under49c2,601$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.5814441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over53c1,807$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.9130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under49c1,619$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.441,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,385$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over54c1,303$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.0240451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,177$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.851,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c1,175$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.86,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c1,058$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.052,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over52c1,041$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3510252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over51c950.22$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.228554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c867.54$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.121,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over52c865.06$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.1759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over52c856.21$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.231,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over52c856.21$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.2329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c851.7$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over53c840.37$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c840.37$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over53c840.37$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under53c733.74$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.031,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c728.43$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.971,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Over57c677.29$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.827149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c550$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c459.51$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.651,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c453.24$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.491,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over54c395.77$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.714852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over54c389.02$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c359.25$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.591,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Under48c352.7$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.48652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over53c344.66$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over47c333$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c323.61$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.11,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under50c319.62$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c288.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over50c285.62$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.815427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c282.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over52c277.61$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3642352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.869646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Under47c237.78$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.025650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over9c236.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Over41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.462441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c234.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.181,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c191.91$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1214640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1216555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under49c171.27$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.355450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c165.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over53c161.3$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c160.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over54c145.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.761,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c144.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.182,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over50c139.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7926345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c134.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e1…23d9backed Over12c132.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Under47c117.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3612149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over14c110.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over48c106.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5911143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over15c105.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.924044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ca…5482backed Over38c101.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.655935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5953348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over50c90.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over32c89.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9531151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c86.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.85,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under52c81.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2137848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c83…3a66backed Under47c79.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.322661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over53c69.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over53c69.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Over53c69.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5810345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Over53c66.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0815855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Over53c64.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0110047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over53c60.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5446346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c57.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.895843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under56c53.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Under49c53.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5210046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under54c53.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5118444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.194858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over53c51.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1836852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7227945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2925850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over53c44.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6931953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over53c38.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3810850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.424852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…f1aebacked Under51c37.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.341275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over47c36.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Over53c35.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9910246.1%47 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c33.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1321649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.599854.1%53 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over51c26.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3720558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.