TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under55c52,129$28,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,458.1920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over47c40,729$19,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,146.2943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c25,906$13,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,177.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over47c20,435$9,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,604.5560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Over45c14,636$6,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,586.427852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d73…ef97backed Over45c13,537$6,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,091.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under53c10,409$5,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.3870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over45c9,778$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.4949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under53c9,718$5,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,567.4648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c8,318$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.4247856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c8,156$4,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under53c7,154$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c7,106$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.976,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c6,872$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.052,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Over45c5,136$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.025947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c4,131$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.372,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c3,096$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.952,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over45c3,021$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over45c2,699$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.5570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under53c2,593$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.655269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under72c2,533$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.821,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under53c2,415$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.0112850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under57c2,336$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.561,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c2,164$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.321,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over47c2,070$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.0564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c1,982$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over44c1,724$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.714940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c1,596$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.492,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c1,396$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Over45c1,304$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.582454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Under53c1,296$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.3313441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Under53c1,290$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.451952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over14c1,173$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over51c1,082$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.893743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over47c995.48$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.2427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over47c958.81$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6213563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over45c879.97$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9919745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under60c813.8$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.818859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over45c767.13$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7118748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under55c711.66$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6623251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under53c706.26$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e0…b09dbacked Over27c691.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under59c642.98$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce6…4996backed Over49c577.68$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Under53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.542568%17 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under53c548.39$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9739448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under53c534.49$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under53c461.71$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.931,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under52c440.63$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under63c437.38$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.278942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7084…0ae5backed Under56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.241546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Under50c423.46$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1926530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c423.42$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.012,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c411.46$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c405.47$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.51,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.763348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc33…3127backed Under56c382.49$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.291566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3620247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over45c322.01$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.916946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under64c319.79$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over46c318.34$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under69c313.03$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked Under58c312.61$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.32544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over47c269.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over37c269.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.681,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Under56c261.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.159154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3748…a41abacked Under56c260.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over7c252.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8827937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over50c249.27$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6313442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c248.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a8…95b7backed Over39c246.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.352441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4638432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c230.59$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.611,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5237647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c229.41$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over48c220.52$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under53c220.03$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.412142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over45c208.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9916249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Over45c208.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.995540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c201.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.721,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over48c196.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4735744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b4a…3647backed Over48c196.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c194.74$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.561,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Under49c193.31$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6910657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over47c185.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9514845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1814445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over47c180.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.529345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over45c171.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.985450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over46c169.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under54c165.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c160.13$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.861,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under56c142.37$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6413950.4%70 W · 69 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c136.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under53c124.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.613138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over14c123.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2614237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over9c121.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.429449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over46c119.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.