TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over34c11,111$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.6760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6969…d1b9backed Over42c6,385$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.79887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under58c5,228$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c3,612$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.793,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under60c2,454$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.562,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under73c2,249$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.051,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c1,776$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c1,764$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.72,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Under66c1,484$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6428554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over42c1,461$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c1,404$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.042,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4628948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under71c1,047$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Over39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under79c978.89$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5718345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5db6…e5d4backed Over35c961$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over41c918.7$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.11,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under64c903.14$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over16c722.37$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.861,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over41c545.96$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over34c503.23$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under61c459.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.31,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over33c459.69$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15313563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under66c440.9$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under66c431.8$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.781,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under56c428.32$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.464544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over34c424.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over42c370.64$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6710943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under69c337.15$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5544551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under66c334.45$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under66c328.52$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Under66c327.15$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under67c325.3$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under67c313.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Over36c299.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9926530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over33c299.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under67c299.05$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over39c278.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.672450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under66c267.16$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.847051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over42c249.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5913352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over42c231.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over42c219.15$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.041,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over44c217.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6721843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x442f…e80fbacked Over34c208.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under65c206$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68a1…9db5backed Over44c202.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+75.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under64c198.8$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Under60c195.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.084242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked Over22c188.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over35c175.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5938152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Under64c162.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2321951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Under66c160.8$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.226734.3%23 W · 44 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under64c160.78$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.872,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Under61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4416959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over33c156.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0615650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed Under69c154.5$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.137345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under64c152.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2622047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under67c151.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under64c151.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over34c151.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under67c147.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3430055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over41c145.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over42c140.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1944747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over38c139.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Under66c137.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.725855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over36c136.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under71c125.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.978942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c125.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under66c125.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0520146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under63c125$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2513747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over37c124.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9322351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Over44c122.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.053732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Over40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.23151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under70c119.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3352053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25d0…bd0fbacked Under66c110.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under66c110.65$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Over42c109.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.813743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over37c108.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.236842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Under64c107.66$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.226756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over41c102.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9218744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under66c100.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.231,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under53c99.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59da…1880backed Under56c98.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.374632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under64c98.06$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.986046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over42c95.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1316245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over42c95.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1336153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c93.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.611,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under60c92.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0631345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over40c80.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3226147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under63c77.86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9844347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under63c77.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8832450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under60c75.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2910256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under62c73.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under63c70.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under67c70.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2714157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.