NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe869fbfe2d598c2ec2b67ab0c8e2ea146d9ff3e36ce2347b061a3ea2e29770be

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,579 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over	45c	24,701$11,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,003.14	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	56c	16,468$9,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,322.1	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under	52c	9,995$5,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,808.04	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	44c	5,975$2,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621.74	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	47c	2,123$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.9	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	56c	2,112$1,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.88	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	55c	1,824$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$823.13	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	49c	1,700$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$826.09	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	51c	1,559$794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.36	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e1…da1ebacked Under	57c	801.03$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.98	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.26per pick	51cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	62c	416.46$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.66	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	58c	411.04$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.69	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	55c	367.66$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.45	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over	45c	333$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.85	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under	55c	317.11$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.86	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	57c	305.2$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.2	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over	43c	289.06$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.49	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	57c	254.19$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.3	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over	44c	228.28$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under	55c	214.06$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.33	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Over	42c	204.46$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.89	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	55c	190.04$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.45	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	55c	190.04$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.45	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over	25c	179.79$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over	47c	173.66$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.62	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	53c	169.11$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.2	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	50c	163$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.2	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f359backed Under	57c	159.7$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.67	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under	56c	155.13$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.81	201	46.8%94 W · 107 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	56c	144.01$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.96	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	76c	129.09$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.61	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under	56c	129.05$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.78	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ecd…ea91backed Under	52c	126.65$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.79	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Over	43c	125.13$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.81	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	56c	124.51$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.78	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	56c	122.83$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.66	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	56c	120.51$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.68	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under	55c	116.76$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.54	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under	57c	113.64$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.83	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over	45c	109.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.76	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e1…23d9backed Over	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.03	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	43c	99.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.99	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	45c	96.7$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under	57c	93.82$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.34	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	85.27$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.22	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over	49c	82.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.33	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	56c	68.3$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.84	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda65…0f34backed Under	55c	61.92$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-36%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	53c	60.99$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.66	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under	55c	60.8$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.34	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b43…9149backed Under	52c	58.83$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	55c	58.46$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over	43c	46.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under	55c	44.23$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	174	59.2%103 W · 71 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Under	55c	42.39$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.07	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-8.0wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Over	46c	42.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under	56c	41.73$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	167	49.1%82 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under	54c	40.52$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.64	235	49.4%116 W · 119 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under	75c	39.81$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.95	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under	75c	39.81$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.95	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under	75c	39.81$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.95	166	53.6%89 W · 77 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	75c	38.86$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.72	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under	55c	35.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.92	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ff…55f2backed Over	44c	35.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d96…e396backed Over	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under	57c	34.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over	48c	34.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.27	114	55.3%63 W · 51 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over	50c	30.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over	49c	29.68$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc79…d555backed Over	44c	29.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51c…a913backed Over	49c	28.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	55c	26.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.1	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under	56c	26.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	378	53.4%202 W · 176 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over	46c	24.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under	57c	24.64$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.51	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over	49c	23.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Under	57c	23.62$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.16	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c36…d272backed Under	54c	23.41$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under	54c	22.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.44	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Under	55c	20.68$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9260…1068backed Under	56c	20.17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.87	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-10.1wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-59%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under	52c	19.42$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.32	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Under	57c	18.78$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.98	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under	56c	18.49$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.11	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under	55c	18.49$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.32	387	36.4%141 W · 246 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	61c	18.19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.12	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5this page
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 13.5No won
Luke Kornet: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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