NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6345ee392b814f2237738b36487489a1d6d472c260ae7b08af4cc2d03ca4ec5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 56c | 326.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 38c | 322.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 44c | 225.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 63c | 205.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 43c | 156.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 64c | 120.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…7197backed Over | 36c | 106.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 60c | 96.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 62c | 90.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Over | 39c | 82.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 73.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 38c | 69.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 54c | 55.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 40c | 54.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 41c | 35.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…3f47backed Over | 47c | 30.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 59c | 26.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5this page
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Luke Kornet: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.