TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x92e3…ab49backed Yes19c3,179$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.641827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No75c1,961$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.4948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes21c1,295$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8311439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x219d…5812backed Yes21c860.37$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.283735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No79c800.93$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6435954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No80c800.9$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4534151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes18c610.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.821,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes30c500.44$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.591,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed No79c482.03$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.913250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes17c441.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.987045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes13c422.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.176098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes20c400$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.416225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94df…e399backed No80c300.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.122653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes25c204.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.455541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdbc…e435backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424055%22 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes17c199.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9924037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked Yes22c190$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1df…309dbacked Yes22c182.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe19c…3272backed Yes22c178.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes27c175.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7414739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e4…0950backed Yes19c150.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9140…f62cbacked Yes20c134.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.642729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf64…9390backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Yes19c95.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.123240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…8973backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No78c86.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7511256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes18c73.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4317652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No79c70.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7242737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…79cfbacked Yes23c65.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155817.2%10 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes16c64.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed No80c63.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.633342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes24c62.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.032,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed Yes18c59.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes38c57.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1f…c4eabacked Yes28c36.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-75.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb73b…91b9backed Yes38c35.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd182…941ebacked No79c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No74c19.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2119874.7%148 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc677…677abacked No70c17.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+151.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.