TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e31…454dbacked Yes53c1,975$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.532330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.3wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-47.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No48c1,952$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.2448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61224954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Yes52c1,034$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.054738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x219d…5812backed Yes49c960.97$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.723735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes47c946.2$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3411439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No54c940$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes51c849.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes45c506.57$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6416225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec1…0099backed No54c438.16$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.181758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked No53c427.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.038366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked No55c399.88$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No54c180.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0921063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.55459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No57c119.94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.432,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508253.7%44 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes47c111$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1722550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4355044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4af…c998backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.221944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed Yes47c71.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.285541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes45c67.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6724037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a4…65a6backed No50c64.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.121770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes49c61.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No49c54.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7211256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No55c34.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.226358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No51c27.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8142737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9611038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No48c26.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.886870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x291d…a99abacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3a6…3d43backed No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.