TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Compact" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18cd…8013backed Yes44c2,065$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92e3…ab49backed Yes17c1,221$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.831827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No53c739.48$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6921063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No71c328.4$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7748961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8c97…eb24backed No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed Yes44c220$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.86358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No69c219.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6935958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No70c197.06$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.631,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes22c159.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No77c137.66$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.355650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4755044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13de…fd91backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311156.8%63 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No73c95.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.466870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked No53c77.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4924954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No66c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9610853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No66c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9466239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed No78c40.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.211748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb11f…336fbacked No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed No78c33.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.443158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed No65c27.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x394d…cc94backed No68c22.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc7…4572backed No66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.410729.9%32 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ed…e720backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9434…d8d8backed No75c19.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.811643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No69c19.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.911256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked No65c18.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.586358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a4…65a6backed No73c14.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.961770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.