Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "Scare" or "Scared" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dceeadb3862189ab9056a67cf72570b17f86ea31d48e3f6a269ed5165827b47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…5db1backed Yes | 18c | 596.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…5561backed Yes | 7c | 290.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 4c | 272.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…6d5fbacked Yes | 56c | 145.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 10c | 122.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 41c | 108.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 33c | 92.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed No | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…85a3backed Yes | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…0099backed Yes | 55c | 58.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 57c | 52.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 28 | 96.4%27 W · 1 L | +6.6wins | +0.23per pick | 73cpaid | +40%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…2a51backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "Scare" or "Scared" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Compact" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Corner" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Defending Champion" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Pharaoh" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Tactical" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.