Earnings · resolved market
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x659227aad68ef74aea26975f864d153f908b66a7b50c6eb56f8bb660558bbc32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 19c | 1,741$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.35 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…894cbacked No | 72c | 1,000$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.55 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 29c | 602.12$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.73 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 31c | 373.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.85 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 10c | 279.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.28 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Yes | 69c | 260.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 63c | 251.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 39c | 238.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 24c | 210.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 75c | 157.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 152.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 69c | 139.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 74c | 130.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…3b81backed Yes | 73c | 129.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 65c | 112.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed No | 29c | 102.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 13c | 96.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…e61cbacked No | 21c | 88.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes | 72c | 69.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…e333backed No | 34c | 58.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Yes | 76c | 53.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93e0…a8d4backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked No | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…0bfcbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…def2backed Yes | 80c | 38.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb5…b3a4backed No | 27c | 37.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked No | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yes | 69c | 36.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316d…ef66backed Yes | 72c | 34.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2d…72acbacked Yes | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 61c | 23.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…06ebbacked Yes | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…85cabacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a7c1backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.