Earnings · resolved market
Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50ee3dc6eb95a801236fa1efddc2d643d2fc5eda6effa401a4e97593e4e80b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd98e…3c54backed No | 1c | 8,244$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 4c | 1,060$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 608.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 3c | 498.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked No | 47c | 266.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 61c | 227.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 211.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…5232backed No | 10c | 201.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked No | 37c | 199.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…428fbacked Yes | 58c | 195.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 170.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…0bbabacked No | 13c | 155.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…7601backed No | 27c | 150.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed No | 21c | 141.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 23c | 123.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5382backed Yes | 78c | 120.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed Yes | 58c | 104.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 29c | 86.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 23c | 85.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…bb54backed No | 16c | 62.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…bd50backed No | 54c | 60.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…d687backed No | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed No | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…ca1fbacked No | 55c | 43.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 30c | 34.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Yes | 67c | 27.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…e333backed Yes | 61c | 26.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…4323backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…23ffbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.