Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0eaa0fdd25dddf9d3e3e959f3761b1fb2860077c6e330006ec71958755d229e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 56c | 2,336$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.6 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 17c | 1,150$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7a…525fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,064$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 35c | 862.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.11 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 19c | 787$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed Yes | 16c | 719$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 39c | 620.23$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac9…d570backed Yes | 41c | 494.45$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Yes | 78c | 449.44$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 401.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 42c | 384.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Yes | 16c | 362$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d3bebacked Yes | 68c | 349.83$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 65c | 347.84$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.85 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 34c | 329.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 35c | 327.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.09 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 46c | 284.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes | 36c | 278.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…8817backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…b4a1backed Yes | 34c | 244.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed No | 19c | 216.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…85cabacked No | 61c | 194.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 59c | 188.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 186.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 58c | 176.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…90cdbacked Yes | 80c | 175.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 22c | 161.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 42c | 161.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 160.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 21c | 159.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…cdafbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 21c | 142.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…abe7backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 63c | 136.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…2eacbacked Yes | 22c | 134.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…4586backed Yes | 75c | 133.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed Yes | 19c | 127$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…307dbacked Yes | 58c | 124.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 18c | 123.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 123$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed No | 67c | 118.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 114.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 29c | 106.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed No | 45c | 102.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 39c | 101.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 36c | 100.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe721…a4d4backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…db26backed No | 52c | 96.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 46c | 87.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…ef8dbacked No | 46c | 84.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2872…505abacked Yes | 69c | 78.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…4641backed Yes | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…f789backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…8e08backed No | 22c | 72.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…f817backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…f327backed Yes | 49c | 68.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 67.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…7899backed Yes | 69c | 66.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…dad9backed Yes | 35c | 65.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 74c | 64.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bb…af44backed Yes | 57c | 62.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked No | 70c | 55.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 48c | 50.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 50.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…6bfabacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5606…9bd7backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…9a53backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…8e32backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9a…ddc8backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…2c24backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 40c | 49.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…d56ebacked No | 20c | 49.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 40c | 48.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…4911backed Yes | 60c | 45.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 53c | 45.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…93febacked No | 47c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…fb27backed Yes | 59c | 42.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…06debacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 65c | 39.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed No | 67c | 39.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…f901backed Yes | 31c | 38.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…930abacked Yes | 54c | 38.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…fb66backed Yes | 59c | 38.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Yes | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffd…43f9backed Yes | 60c | 35.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.