Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadead85ecce93271522ec40b8ebfe3416899f2b8a77584ef06a3bb25c95e963a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,452$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 17c | 999.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 18c | 889.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 18c | 767.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Yes | 22c | 754$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 13c | 716.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 19c | 710.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 6c | 700.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked No | 76c | 654.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…978dbacked Yes | 19c | 555.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed Yes | 25c | 527$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed No | 78c | 516$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 75c | 493$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…7a52backed Yes | 16c | 471.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 6c | 462.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 398.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 12c | 392.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…f211backed Yes | 13c | 350$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Yes | 22c | 299.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 11c | 292$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 14c | 286.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 16c | 283.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed No | 78c | 254$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…8817backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 23c | 215.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 199.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed No | 80c | 194.17$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 173.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…2eacbacked Yes | 18c | 166.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 14c | 152.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 80c | 150.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 115 | 9.6%11 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Yes | 8c | 148.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…f901backed Yes | 25c | 125.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…8d59backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 123$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 112.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0d…d7e5backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 101.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 20c | 101.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 18c | 100.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 347 | 14.7%51 W · 296 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 380 | 10%38 W · 342 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe721…a4d4backed Yes | 13c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…5d3dbacked No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 18c | 99.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 98.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…b4a1backed Yes | 26c | 97.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…f789backed Yes | 16c | 93.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…cdafbacked Yes | 11c | 92.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 75c | 91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…a1f3backed Yes | 14c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 15c | 79.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked No | 73c | 77.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…307dbacked Yes | 16c | 71.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…f817backed Yes | 17c | 69.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 63.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 18c | 60.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 22c | 58.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 23c | 58.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 182 | 24.2%44 W · 138 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 76c | 48.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 80c | 34.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 227 | 70.9%161 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c45…b324backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 77c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.