World Politics · resolved market
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd99c3987d9b996667f9292dd57b6ab85fc23d517a567255a791b12ff2fd83699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 7c | 17,410$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…b166backed Yes | 0c | 10,170$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…9f1dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,156$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…a2f3backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 14c | 5,740$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 5,560$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 12c | 5,503$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.64 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 4c | 4,834$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…690cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 6c | 3,043$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6aefbacked Yes | 4c | 2,127$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…4254backed Yes | 9c | 2,038$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,805$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 12c | 1,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…1d3dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,097$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…17cdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,064$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…a502backed Yes | 15c | 1,059$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 74c | 1,043$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.73 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 992.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…be02backed Yes | 6c | 966$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…5973backed Yes | 15c | 960.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed Yes | 14c | 938.11$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…1cf7backed Yes | 5c | 680.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 76c | 629.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a57…493ebacked Yes | 24c | 621.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 11c | 620.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 74c | 582.95$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…f739backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 4c | 494.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…ca70backed Yes | 24c | 453.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…4edfbacked Yes | 5c | 450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…706dbacked Yes | 13c | 428.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 416.26$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 24c | 401$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…cf02backed Yes | 17c | 353.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 8c | 304.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 14c | 282.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae86…a294backed Yes | 36c | 279.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 7c | 279.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes | 28c | 218.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed No | 70c | 206.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…27a9backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110e…969fbacked Yes | 6c | 199.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…d7f1backed Yes | 23c | 198.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 198.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 8c | 168.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…7df2backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…be3bbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a0f3backed Yes | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…3643backed No | 77c | 114.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…fa55backed Yes | 17c | 106.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes | 28c | 104.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…1854backed Yes | 30c | 101.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Yes | 20c | 100.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 94.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…e64ebacked Yes | 24c | 87.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 83.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 20c | 80.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 80.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Yes | 25c | 74.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 78c | 63.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…fb1cbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…d18cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…ffa5backed No | 78c | 60.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked No | 69c | 54.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…7d54backed Yes | 23c | 50.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb773…ece7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…b68fbacked Yes | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…4815backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 72c | 41.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…1496backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…200ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 74c | 32.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…1c73backed Yes | 42c | 27.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 76c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 79c | 26.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…d02dbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…4e03backed No | 67c | 23.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 75c | 21.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?this page
- Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes won
- Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
- Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
- Will Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”) be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
- Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.