Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a5695fb003f6ceb9075445d9a8d2b16c142c148de52cd8826c8dad60ff7483f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 13c | 9,176$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.97 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,167$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,043$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…026fbacked No | 76c | 820.31$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 78c | 791.54$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.77 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed No | 61c | 736$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Yes | 78c | 639.36$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 76c | 617.47$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…d6b7backed Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…0a7bbacked No | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 21c | 475.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 57c | 422.71$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 20c | 422$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 80c | 422$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 70c | 400$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 72c | 400$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 11c | 367.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 31c | 366.83$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Yes | 26c | 309$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 77c | 293.36$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 4c | 291.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 15c | 276.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…8012backed Yes | 28c | 255.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 27c | 225.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 61c | 224$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked Yes | 24c | 217.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked No | 45c | 211.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 49c | 204.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 184.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 74c | 183.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 182.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked No | 52c | 181.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 58c | 173.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 22c | 164.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 28c | 162.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 77c | 151.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 16c | 144$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 138.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 21c | 122.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 60c | 116.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…3e2cbacked Yes | 17c | 114.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…6e19backed Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 64c | 102.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 51c | 99.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 20c | 92.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 91.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 77c | 88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 62c | 86.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +259.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 75c | 79.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 78.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…3ecebacked No | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 27c | 75.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 77c | 73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abc…52cabacked Yes | 29c | 69.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Yes | 66c | 64.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 64.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 25c | 64.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 19c | 63.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 23c | 62.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 56c | 61.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 45c | 60.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 56.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 74c | 56.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 55.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 56c | 49.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed Yes | 28c | 44.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5b…afe2backed Yes | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 56c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 40.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 74c | 39.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec6…f2b6backed Yes | 26c | 39.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cfc9backed Yes | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 72c | 33.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…2722backed Yes | 45c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Yes | 55c | 22.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 80c | 17.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…58c7backed Yes | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Yes | 69c | 15.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?this page
- Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.