Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x384fd558c87baa2b1c1f7aea7402b7e3a86e83a3d51d5bca61e4e9cad4eee5be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked No | 14c | 19,626$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 78c | 9,306$7,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.77 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 31c | 1,418$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.39 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,331$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.43 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 74c | 1,267$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 66c | 1,259$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 72c | 1,109$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 28c | 1,019$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 76c | 976.53$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 16c | 970$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked Yes | 75c | 952.13$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.54 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 74c | 686.69$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 71c | 573$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 72c | 470$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 454.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 26c | 447$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…b9a8backed Yes | 74c | 445.07$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…026fbacked Yes | 75c | 420.38$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 26c | 414$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked No | 26c | 406$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 36c | 398.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed No | 58c | 367$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd4…c334backed Yes | 42c | 367$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 26c | 346$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 61c | 323$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b2…1296backed No | 12c | 304.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…e164backed Yes | 75c | 300.63$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 14c | 297.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…a0b8backed Yes | 79c | 289.62$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 27c | 286$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 66c | 282.47$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 66c | 275.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 17c | 266$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 264.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 41c | 247.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 28c | 231$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 78c | 228$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 25c | 220.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed No | 48c | 214.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked No | 23c | 209.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…85a3backed No | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 10c | 199.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 25c | 193.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…292ebacked No | 29c | 190.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 33c | 190.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 39c | 189.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…23ffbacked No | 16c | 186.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 25c | 183.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed Yes | 74c | 178$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 14c | 175.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 74c | 168$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 69c | 145.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…dc60backed No | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…a473backed No | 21c | 118.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 24c | 113.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 22c | 112.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 106.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed No | 28c | 104.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 24c | 91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 22c | 88.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Yes | 24c | 86.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 14c | 76.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 31c | 72.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 20c | 69.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 20c | 68.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…100fbacked No | 19c | 61.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 74c | 57.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 54.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…3ecebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 26c | 49.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b36abacked Yes | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 54c | 44.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cfc9backed Yes | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 57c | 34.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 75c | 31.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…d504backed Yes | 58c | 30.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 73c | 29.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…9f91backed Yes | 60c | 27.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?this page
- Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.